THE move by the Central Bank of
Nigeria to publish the names of chronic bank debtors is doubly ominous. For one,
Nigerians are rightly worried that the rising volume of banks’ non-performing
loans, if not quickly arrested, could presage fresh systemic stress in the
financial sector. Second, many will view the “name-and-shame” option as tepid.
The prevailing national mood, however, demands vigorous measures by the
regulators to protect the system and recover all loans from recalcitrant
debtors.
The decision to publish the names of serial bank
debtors was taken at the 322nd meeting of the Bankers’ Committee last month and
a deadline of August 1, this year set for culprits to start meeting their loan
repayment obligations or be shamed by media advertorials laying bare their
financial burdens in public. According to Tokunbo Martins, CBN’s Director of
Banking Supervision, the measure is in response to mounting non-performing
loans, which he said had risen to N490 billion sector-wide. It is reassuring
that the CBN has spotted danger in the figure, though it amounts to just 3 per
cent of the N13 trillion total bank credit. Godwin Emefiele, the CBN Governor,
should follow through to ensure that NPLs do not reach the 5 per cent ceiling
of total credit in the market set by the apex bank.
Though Martins was quick to say that the 3 per cent
NPLs level signposted “stability” in the financial sector, Nigerians,
especially depositors and shareholders familiar with cycles of systemic stress
– the most recent being in 2009/10 – will only be reassured when they see very
firm, very aggressive measures within the ambit of the law being taken to
recover all outstanding loans.
We expect that the “name-and-shame” phase will only
be a prelude to stronger actions. Experience has shown that merely publishing
the list of debtors has neither shamed the chronic ones nor induced them to pay
their debts. It was firm action, including arrests and threat of criminal
prosecution that compelled many to come forward to repay when the CBN under
Lamido Sanusi clamped down on impunity in the banking sector in 2009. There are
many reasons why chronic debtors and reckless bankers should be handled with a
strong hand.
Loan losses are inevitable in today’s sophisticated
financial market. However, lending and borrowing come with collateral where the
borrower pledges property or assets to the lender in case of repayment default.
Strict risk management regulations by the CBN should, therefore, normally cover
some credit default and help lenders minimise their loan losses. But poor risk
practices, along with insider abuse and corruption among bankers, contributed
in large measure to the systemic stress of 2009, according to the Nigerian
Deposit Insurance Corporation. Bankers are expected to undertake strict due
diligence in granting loans and should be made liable for losses arising from
infractions of regulatory or in-house guidelines. Corrupt bankers who collude
with unscrupulous lenders should not go free.
To combat high profile debtors who troll the banks
acquiring multi-billion naira NPLs, Sanusi had forbidden banks from granting
them additional loans, only for this novel measure to be squelched by a
conniving Presidency. One serial debtor collected N35 billion from an aviation
intervention fund and left the carcass of his airline for creditors; another
had part of his debt “forgiven” by Asset Management Company of Nigeria, freeing
him to borrow more to buy a power generating firm. There should be a deliberate
effort to recover all loans taken by the well-connected debtors, who operate
with impunity.
Emefiele, should work strenuously to avoid NPLs
running out of control as it did in 2008/9 when bad loans reached N4.3
trillion, rendering some banks insolvent and prompting strong regulatory
actions, including CBN takeover of eight banks, injection of bail-out funds and
creation of AMCON to buy up bad debts. NPLs have been rising; from N344.26
billion in August 2013 to N400.57 billion a year later, and N490 billion as of
May 2015. Sarah Alade, a CBN deputy governor, who revealed this, also said
total banks’ credit rose by 21.08 per cent from N9.27 trillion in August 2013 to
N11.22 trillion a year later, and N13 trillion as of June this year.
Regulators should pay attention to the prediction in
February by Fitch, the global rating agency, that NPLs will rise above the 5
per cent threshold in Nigeria by the end of this year. The oil price shock,
currency devaluation and lower growth indices on which that was predicated have
worsened. GDP growth has slowed to 3.9 per cent, according to Standard
Chartered Bank, Africa, while oil prices are still low and the naira was down
to N197 to the US dollar on Tuesday and N230 at the parallel market.
With AMCON recovering only N3.2 trillion so far of
the N5.6 trillion NPLs it acquired, the loss of N2.4 trillion that could have
gone to small and medium scale enterprises is better imagined. Beyond naming
and shaming therefore, we suggest very robust, aggressive measures to recover
bad loans. Those who break the rules and violate laws should not be spared, but
be made to face prosecution. The world’s successful economies do not tolerate
financial sector malfeasance and we should toe that line. The collusion between
corrupt bankers and big time chronic debtors deprives SMEs and the productive
sectors of the economy much-needed credit that can alleviate poverty and create
jobs while diversifying the economy and exports.
Emefiele should strictly enforce the regulations and
punish errant bankers. The tight risk management and corporate governance rules
put in place after the banking crisis should be fully implemented and where
necessary, tightened even further. A country confronted by a fiscal squeeze,
mass unemployment, unpaid wages by 24 of the 36 states and rising public debt
cannot afford another crisis in the financial sector.
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